Round of 16

Mexico 2 - 3 England

England advance

Sunday, July 5 · 9:00 PM GMT-4

Pre-match Briefing

Match outlook

England has the edge

64% model edge before kickoff.

Expected score: 0-1

Facing an England side our model rates at 64% to advance, Mexico must defy a sizeable expected-goals gap (0.8 to 1.9).

Game script

The model expects chances at both ends, so transitions and set pieces could swing the match.

Key battle

England's attacking rhythm against Mexico's defensive shape is the matchup to watch.

What to watch

Watch the opening 20 minutes: pressing, tempo, and early shots should tell us who is settling faster.

Stars to watch

Mexico

Santiago GimenezEdson AlvarezHirving Lozano

England

Harry KaneJude BellinghamBukayo Saka

Lineups are confirmed closer to kickoff; this list highlights notable players fans may be watching.

Who wins?

Make your pick after reading the preview.

Model probability

Expected goals: 0.8 – 1.9Most likely score (AI predicted): 0–1

Predictions are locked — this match has started.

More pre-match notes

Unlock the full match preview, tactical notes, and value pick — go Pro.

Disclaimer

The WC26 Live Pick'em is a free-to-play game for entertainment only. Points are virtual, have no monetary value, cannot be purchased, and cannot be exchanged for cash or prizes. This is not gambling and involves no real-money wagering. Predictions are informational and for entertainment only. Players should be 18+.

Streaming guide

How to watch Mexico vs England

Check official viewing options before Mexico vs England. Availability can vary by country and broadcaster.

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